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Rising coups in West Africa expose governance failures, ECOWAS credibility gaps and shifting geopolitical alliances

Kelvin KorokobyKelvin Koroko
December 19, 2025
in Social
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Rising coups in West Africa expose governance failures, ECOWAS credibility gaps and shifting geopolitical alliances

West Africa is witnessing a renewed wave of military takeovers as deep-rooted governance failures, economic hardship and worsening insecurity continue to erode public confidence in elected governments.

Across the sub-region, frustration is growing over corruption, unmet development promises and constitutional changes that allow leaders to extend their stay in power, weakening democratic norms and inflaming public anger.

In several countries, presidents have manipulated constitutions to bypass term limits, a practice widely viewed as a “constitutional coup.”

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These actions have triggered protests and state crackdowns, creating conditions in which military intervention is increasingly seen by sections of the population as an alternative to a political class perceived as self-serving and disconnected from everyday struggles.

The trend is particularly pronounced in Francophone West Africa, where anti-French sentiment linked to colonial-era grievances has intensified.

Many citizens believe long-standing ties with France have failed to deliver meaningful development or security, especially in the Sahel.

This resentment has helped legitimise coups presented as efforts to reclaim sovereignty and economic control, encouraging similar actions across neighbouring states.

Regional institutions have struggled to contain the instability. ECOWAS and the African Union are facing sharp criticism for responding too slowly and inconsistently to early warning signs.

While sanctions are swiftly imposed on military juntas, the same bodies are accused of turning a blind eye when sitting presidents alter constitutions to entrench themselves in power.

This double standard has damaged institutional credibility and weakened trust among member states.

The nature of the coups themselves varies. In Guinea-Bissau, analysts suspect a politically engineered “placeholder coup,” allegedly linked to President Umaro Sissoco Embaló after legislative setbacks.

The appointment of a prime minister closely associated with the president and Embaló’s ability to communicate freely during the incident have fueled doubts about the authenticity of the takeover.

Burkina Faso presents a contrasting picture.

There, the military government led by Captain Ibrahim Traoré enjoys broad popular backing. Supporters point to perceived improvements in security, greater national control over resources and renewed investment in social infrastructure as evidence that the transitional authorities are delivering what previous civilian governments failed to achieve.

These developments are unfolding alongside a major geopolitical shift.

As relations with France deteriorate, several West African states are diversifying partnerships toward Russia, China and other global actors. This realignment has reduced Western leverage and provided military regimes with alternative diplomatic and economic options.

Fueling the momentum is a surge in youth-driven Panafricanism, amplified by social media. Military leaders are increasingly portrayed as symbols of resistance against foreign influence and domestic elites, reinforcing public tolerance for non-electoral rule.

Experts warn that reversing the trend will require consistent enforcement of democratic standards, proactive mediation by ECOWAS and the African Union, and credible regional leadership.

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